Financial-Research-Telecom-Media-Satellite

Intelsat and OneWeb: True Love or Shotgun Wedding?

Intelsat + OneWeb  = True Love or a Shotgun Marriage It’s well known that Intelsat and OneWeb announced plans to merge, backed by a $1.7 billion investment from SoftBank. This adds to Sofbank’s investment in the satellite sector, following its December 2016 announcement of a $1 billion investment in OneWeb. What’s not well understood is […]

Armand’s Notes from Euroconsult 2016 Conference

Attached are a full set of my notes from the Euroconsult “World Satellite Business Week” held in Paris from September 12th to 15th.   Executive Summary FSS Sector Facing Headwinds The realities of massive satellite capacity growth and declining price has sunk in. It’s becoming broadly accepted that satellite video distribution is at best stable, […]

Intelsat – With Pressure on Video, the Worst is Yet to Come

Intelsat S.A (I), is trading at 3.9x earnings, and is about to launch it next generation high throughput EPIC satellites which will dramatically increase capacity. It now trades at all time lows, down over 60% from its 2013 IPO. At first glance, Intelsat might seem like a buying opportunity. But greater downside, potentially even restructuring, […]

Downstream Implications of AWS-3 Auction

While there has been extensive discussion about the AWS-3 auctions, there has been less discussion about the long-term industry impacts of the auctions: 1)    Upcoming 600 MHz Auction Prices – Higher transaction prices from the AWS-3 auction could imply higher prices for the 600 MHz auction. However: With the telecom industry spending ~$45B on the […]

Intelsat’s Yearend Results Highlight Dependence on Next Generation Epic Satellites

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Quick Analysis of Intelsat’s Q1 Financial Results

I’ve neglected the blog for a while as I am working on my forthcoming “Spectrum Handbook 2013.” I expect to release it in a few weeks. Please contact me if you’d like a copy. But I did have a chance to review Intelsat’s Q1 results. Results were somewhat better than I expected – modest growth, […]

A Layman’s Guide to the Possible Intelsat IPO

Given all of the industry questions about a possible Intelsat IPO, I decided to spend some time an analyze the situation. This resulted in a 26 page analysis (e-mail me at amusey@SummitRidgeGroup.com) for a copy. Here is the executive summary: Executive Summary In light of its May 18th $1.75 billion IPO filing, satellite industry observers […]

Wireless Consolidation’s Impact on the Incentive Auctions

Since the discussion of the television broadcast incentive auctions began a few years ago, the US wireless industry has significantly consolidated. In the past 12 months the following major transactions have reshaped the industry: Verizon’s buys Spectrum Co, signaling the probably end of the cable industry’s interest in entering the industry; T-mobile buys MetroPCS and […]